Allan Lichtman Who Will Win 2024. Lichtman won't make final predictions until the democratic national convention. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016.

Presidential election predictor allan lichtman, who has predicted the winner of nearly every u.s. Allan lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at american university who has accurately predicted 9 of the last 10 presidential elections, tells cnn’s laura.